Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 2.683925 2.977137 3.293600 3.661285 4.077651 4.535565 5.078726
2025-03-23 2.312396 2.719795 3.190546 3.777700 4.494548 5.346503 6.443445
2025-03-30 2.015248 2.473945 3.031297 3.764469 4.712525 5.909359 7.554170
2025-04-06 1.793465 2.277779 2.890386 3.731764 4.872353 6.386602 8.586046
2025-04-13 1.562165 2.037966 2.659313 3.542764 4.787207 6.509153 9.128422
2025-04-20 1.443446 1.930963 2.586999 3.550947 4.959641 6.988678 10.218187
2025-04-27 1.364520 1.868260 2.565282 3.621513 5.219735 7.611833 11.590080
2025-05-04 1.295695 1.811984 2.544834 3.687415 5.473273 8.244503 13.050046
2025-05-11 1.227928 1.750490 2.509669 3.724604 5.681352 8.821855 14.486991
2025-05-18 1.165262 1.690815 2.470926 3.750104 5.869167 9.380542 15.958712
2025-05-25 1.078151 1.587548 2.357322 3.645526 5.830817 9.551546 16.751715
2025-06-01 1.012278 1.512091 2.280738 3.593152 5.872577 9.860245 17.833519
2025-06-08 0.951503 1.441861 2.209356 3.546640 5.925497 10.204170 19.053138
2025-06-15 0.931413 1.434917 2.239146 3.673803 6.298239 11.175416 21.675840
2025-06-22 0.886338 1.384216 2.192940 3.664179 6.419403 11.683070 23.411432
2025-06-29 0.841291 1.330525 2.137687 3.633156 6.496010 12.109823 25.034326
2025-07-06 0.773522 1.234745 2.004489 3.450070 6.263102 11.888070 25.162152
2025-07-13 0.743305 1.200905 1.976130 3.458032 6.404527 12.450711 27.196785
2025-07-20 0.724929 1.186188 1.980072 3.526456 6.672686 13.310751 30.089885
2025-07-27 0.706950 1.170963 1.981843 3.590346 6.937048 14.193221 33.195924
2025-08-03 0.686001 1.149167 1.970089 3.626397 7.145696 14.975134 36.183375
2025-08-10 0.664785 1.125625 1.953485 3.651116 7.331747 15.726646 39.228771
2025-08-17 0.628175 1.072134 1.877692 3.549738 7.230217 15.784105 40.339591